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收集所有交通大學研究人員與學生個人或團體所發表之各項學術著作,涵蓋期刊論文、教師專書、學位論文等項。;;Collections of Publications of NCTU Researchers and Students Like Journal Papers and Thesis.

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  • Item type:Item,
    A Boosting Regression-Based Method to Evaluate the Vital Essence in Semiconductor Industry Performance
    (2020-01-01)
    Hsu, Ping-Yu
    ;
    Yeh, I-Wen
    ;
    Tseng, Ching-Hsun
    ;
    Lee, Shin-Jye
    ;
    科技管理研究所
    In accordance with the statistical analysis, the industrial performance is usually related to research and development (R&D) intensity, and this factor indeed plausibly brings the biggest profit with patents and supporting products to the development of semiconductor industry. How to evaluate the completive performance of modern industries is an increasing issue, especially for the semiconductor industries in these decades. However, almost every traditional statistical model is deterred by the hypothesis of population and independent correlation among each feature, and this makes the result of typical regression model potentially lose reliability. To avoid this weakness, this article therefore applies a gradient boosting based method - XGBoost to evaluate the feature importance of semiconductor industries. In the simulation experiments, different findings revel certain information, apart from R&D intensity, actually sway the gross net value in the annual financial announcement of semiconductor industries. Moreover, this article proposes another concept to evaluate the essential factor contributing the development of semiconductor industries. Instead of only focusing on the effect of R&D intensity, this article also predicts the future growth rate (GR) of net value by applying the greedy search of XGBoost Regression.
  • Item type:Item,
    A Novel Mutual Fractional Grey Bernoulli Model With Differential Evolution Algorithm and Its Application in Education Investment Forecasting in China
    (2020-01-01)
    Xie, Wanli
    ;
    Pu, Bin
    ;
    Pei, Chunying
    ;
    Lee, Shin-Jye
    ;
    Kang, Yan
    Nowadays, the nonlinear grey Bernoulli model [NGBM(1,1)] has been successfully applied to various fields. Its main advantage is that the power exponent can better reflect the non-linear characteristics of the original data. However, the parameters of the model (i.e., the order of accumulation, coefficient of background value, and power index) must be optimized to fit the development law of the system. In this study, a fractional non-linear grey Bernoulli model [MFNGBM (1,1)] is proposed to reduce the perturbation limit of the classical NGBM and further improve the accuracy of the model, which uses mutual fractional operators and a new optimization scheme with a differential evolution (DE) algorithm for forecasting education investment. In the scheme, the power exponent of the Bernoulli differential equation, coefficient of background, and cumulative order of the original sequence are taken as decision variables, and their optimal parameters obtained by iteratively adjusting fitness functions. The experimental evaluation is conducted on two types of open-source data, and the results show that the proposed method can be very competitive with the popular baselines. Finally, MFNGBM(1,1) is used to predict China & x2019;s education investment in 2020 & x2013;2025.