2019亞洲俱樂部杯男子排球賽得分因素與比賽成績影響因素分析

Abstract

目的：探討2019年亞洲俱樂部杯男子排球賽，14支參賽隊伍得分技術表現效益差異和不同得分因素表現績效與比賽成績表現之間關聯性；方法：以在臺灣舉行的2019年亞洲俱樂部杯男子排球賽，參賽14支球隊為研究對象，採用模糊理論的灰色系統理論中關聯性分析法，探討不同得分因素之表現與比賽成績之間關聯性；結果：一、不同得分因素之單局平均得分經分析後結果如下：（一）攻擊得分：全部賽程單局平均得11.96分，各球隊以日本單局平均得13.7分最高，新加坡單局平均得9.3分為最低。（二）攔網得分：全部賽程單局平均得2.2分，以日本單局平均得3.6分為最佳，新加坡單局平均得1.8分表現最差。（三）發球得分：全部賽程單局平均得1.3分，以澳洲單局平均得1.8分為最好，新加坡單局平均得0.4分表現最低。（四）對方失誤得分：全部賽程單局平均得6.3分，卡達單局平均造成對手失誤得分7.1分為最高，香港單局平均得5.3分表現最低。二、14支參賽隊伍不同得分因素與比賽成績表現，經以灰色理論關聯性運算分析後，獲得初步研究其結果為：與勝率關聯度最高的為攻擊得分（0.883923），其次為對失得分（0.878417），再其次為攔網得分（0.743801），與勝率關聯度最低的為發球得分（0.628519）。結論；根據上述結果，瞭解亞洲男子排球技術發展趨勢，藉以提供我國教練與選手透過訓練加以適時修正、改變，藉以在競賽創造出更好成績。

Purpose: To explore the correlation of scoring factors based on competitive abilities and competition performance of the 14 teams participated in the matches. So as to understand developing trend of modern world men's volleyball and provide reference basis for teaching, training and enhance competitive capabilities. Methods: This research was based on the statistics from 14 teams competed in the AVC 2019 Asian Men's Club Volleyball Championship in Taiwan. In additions, Grey Relation Analysis (GRA) from fuzzy theory was used in this research to determine the correlation between scoring factors and competition performance. Results: I. The results of this research can be summarized as follows: Spikes Score: The average score obtained from spikes was 11.9. The top team, JPN had average scores obtained from spikes of 13.7 respectively. SGP had the least average score obtained from spikes of 9.3. Blocks Score: The average score obtained from blocks was 2.2. The top team, JPN I had average scores obtained from blocks of 3.6 respectively. SGP had the least average score obtained from blocks of 1.8. Serve Score: The average score obtained from serves was 1.3. The top team, AUS had average scores obtained from serves of 1.8 respectively. SGP had the least average score obtained from serves of 0.4. Opponent Error Score: The average score obtained from opponents' error was 6.3. The top team, QAT had average scores obtained from opponents' errors of 7.1 respectively. HKG had the least average score obtained from opponents' errors of 5.3. II. In addition to the above findings, based on the grey relational analysis from the statistics of the 14 teams performed in the games, a preliminary conclusion could be: Spike was the most important technique to win the match with a correlation factor 0.883923. The second and third important techniques of winning the match were error from opponents and block with a correlation factor 0.878417 and 0.743801, respectively. Finally, serve was the least important technique among scoring factors with a factor 0.628519. Conclusion: According to the results above, the understanding of the world men's volleyball development trends, coaches and players have to be timely correction, change through training, so as to create better results for competition.