航空公司班機誤點延滯擴散與控制之研究

Abstract

本研究是從班機誤點延滯擴散的角度，建立一套臨時飛航事件的誤點延滯因應策略。本研究以航空運輸為觀點，再依據航空運輸誤點的特性來探討班機誤點延滯擴散情形，以及在機門使用和轉運上所造成之班機誤點延滯影響，並找出班機誤點延滯擴散之範圍。以往班機誤點延滯研究，大多與飛航排程有關，藉由取消或增飛加班機等方式，使整個飛航運作能在短時間內恢復正常。本研究則是在不影響既定飛航排程下，藉由誤點延滯擴散的控制策略，將臨時飛航事件所帶來之誤點影響降至最小。再由誤點延滯擴散所增加成本及時間兩方面加以衡量，由航空公司角度探討應採取何種即時誤點延滯因應策略以及該如何縮小班機誤點延滯擴散影響範圍，且重新規劃安排班機間最適緩衝時間。

This reserch establishes a set of delay-controlled strategies on controlling the propagation of the flight delays caused by incidents. From the view of air transportation, the study explores the propagation conditions of flight delays for different situations, such as connecting flights, gate uses and transfer requirements, and then derives the extent of flight-delay propagation. The past research on flight delays almost focused on flight scheduling, and recovered the flights operation by canceling or adding flights. This research aims at minimizing delay impacts by controlling flight-delays propagation. We formulate the increased cost and time due to flight delay propagation, and discuss how to minimize its impacts by different controlling strategies. The study also develops models to find the most suitable buffer time between flights to control delay propagation.