具群體變異數且為一般自相關共變異數結構之生長曲線模型

Abstract

本篇論文中，我們著眼於以最大概似法及貝氏方法兩種觀點來分析一具有群體變異且為自相關共變異數結構的生長曲線模型，所含蓋的統計推論除了參數的估計之外，尚包含對於未來值的推論，同時我們也用了一筆實際的資料來描述結果，並和自相關共變數結構的模型作比較。

In this paper, we consider from maximum likelihood and Bayesian points of view the generalized growth curve model with grouping variances in general autoregressive dependence structure. Inferences on the parameters as well as the future value are discussed. The results are illustrated with real and simulated data. Some comparisons in predictive accuracy with autoregressive covariance structure are also given.