标题: 运用Black-Scholes选择权评价方法于图书馆预算分配之动态资源规划
Using Black-Scholes Approach for Dynamic Resource Allocation on Library Budget Planning
作者: 陳佳楨
陳安斌
資訊管理研究所
关键字: 选择权评价模型;动态资源规划;资料探勘;图书馆;Option Pricing Model;Black-Scholes Model;Dynamic Resources Allocation;Data Mining;Library
公开日期: 2007
摘要: 在资讯服务竞争激烈且多元化的今天,大学图书馆是师生寻求资讯与奠定学术研究基石的资源重镇,肩负支援教学、研究、学习与推广的重要任务,如何因应资讯技术之冲击,为读者提供完善的服务是图书馆经营的一大挑战。图书馆为了能满足读者的需求无不致力于馆藏的发展,但是馆藏的发展并非漫无目的购入书籍即可,而所需思考的问题是,如何探究读者的需求、瞭解读者使用图书的情形,进而作调整与创新。另ㄧ方面,面对多样化媒体及紧缩经费同时,该如何善用选购资源以满足读者需求为更是图书馆必须严正以对的课题。
本研究中提出ㄧ个基于Black-Scholes Model评价模式概念的动态资源规划方法,同时结合资料探勘技术找出规划指标来进行资源分配,将其应用在图书馆的馆藏发展。此方法藉由分析大学图书馆之读者的借阅行为来进行动态资源分配,做为馆藏发展政策决策辅助之用。利用本研究所提出的方法,对一大学图书馆进行资源规划,实验结果显示与传统使用的统计方式相较,更为贴近实际借阅情形,表示本研究结果可作为馆藏采购之考量。
依此创新的方法来进行动态资源规划以解决资源分配不均的问题,能有效应用于图书馆购书预算分配,其中采用有意义的读者需求指标,且能因应变动的环境需求弹性调整参数,让有限的资源获得最佳的运用,可做为馆藏采购时决策辅助之用。此方法未来可加入更多指标,并广泛应用于其他领域以有效运用资源并提升组织竞争力。
  At today, the competition at the information service industry was harsh and broad. College library was the important resource that established foundation of academic research for professors and students to seek for information. It undertook the important tasks of teaching, researching, learning and popularizing. The topic of dealing with the shocks from information technique and providing complete and fine service for readers was now challenging the wisdom of the librarian. The libraries were all devoted to collection development in meeting with the reader’s demand, however, collection development definitely not purchasing the books aimlessly. The issue was, how to probe into the reader’s demand and the way they took advantage of the books, and further make further adjustments and innovations. In addition, when facing the multimedia and restricted budget, how to select and purchase the appropriate resources was the central issue for the libraries.
  This research introduced a dynamic resources allocation method based on Black-Scholes model, at the same time combined with the data mining technology to find out the allocation indexes for resources allocation, and further applied it to the collection development. This methods processed dynamic resources allocation through analysis of the borrowing behavior of the readers in college library, as the reference for developing collection development policies. The experiment results showed that the method in this research was more coordinated with the actual borrowing quantity compared with the traditional statistical approach, which showed that the result of this research was available for the collection procurement.
  This research introduced an innovative method of dynamic resources allocation to solve the problem of imbalance resources allocation, and it could effectively apply to the procurement budget allocation of the libraries. It adopted the meaningful index of reader’s demand, and could further flexibly adjust the parameters in response to the changing environment, to make the best use of limited resources. There were many indexes could be added to this method in the future, and wildly applied to other fields, to enhance organizational competitiveness through efficient resources allocation.
URI: http://140.113.39.130/cdrfb3/record/nctu/#GT009234807
http://hdl.handle.net/11536/77189
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