標題: | The Vessel Tonnage Supply and Developmental Trends of China, Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan |
作者: | Chung Cheng-Chi Hsu Chia-Yang Hwang Cherng-Chwan 運輸與物流管理系 註:原交通所+運管所 Department of Transportation and Logistics Management |
關鍵字: | Vessel tonnage;Shipping policy;Flag of convenience;GM(1,1) model |
公開日期: | 2009 |
摘要: | This paper used public data of the last ten years from the Institute of Shipping Economics and Logistics to analyze vessel tonnage structures of FCFs in detail. The recursive residual GM(1,1) model of Grey theory was used to compare the growth trends of vessel tonnage structures of FCFs with. the rest of the world. The results show vessel tonnage structures of China and Taiwan are consistent with the world trend in which national flag vessels are reduced, while foreign flag vessels are increasing. In the next three years, vessel, tonnages of China and Singapore. are expected to increase rapidly, whereas much slower growth is expected in Taiwan, on the other hand, a slight decrease is forecasted for Hong Kong. |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/11536/7853 |
ISSN: | 0957-3720 |
期刊: | JOURNAL OF GREY SYSTEM |
Volume: | 21 |
Issue: | 2 |
起始頁: | 137 |
結束頁: | 148 |
顯示於類別: | 期刊論文 |