隨時間衰退資料的建模

Abstract

本篇論文是用成長曲線模式來分析Bogdanoff and Kozin(1985)兩人所提 的裂縫長度 資料.這篇論文主要目的是用預測觀點來比較成長曲線模式 和Luand Meeker(1990)所提之非線 行性衰退模式,我們也將使用這些模 式來預測斷裂時間. Is this paper we use the general growth curve model to analyze the crack length data from Bogdanoff and Kozin(1985).The Main Purpose of this paper is to compare the proposed model with the nonlinear degradation model of Lu and Meeker(1993) from a prediction point of view. We will also compare the forecast of failure time using different models.