具冪次轉換,隨機效應與AR(1)相依之成長曲線模式的貝式分析

Abstract

本論文是討論具冪次轉換, 隨機效應與AR(1)相依之成長曲線模式的 貝氏分析. 我們提出二種不同的事前分配, 並在參數估計及未來值的預測 問題作一比較. In this paper we devote ourselves to a general growth curve modelwith power transformation, random effects and AR(1) dependence via aBayesian approach. Two priors are proposed and both parameters estimationand prediction of future values are considered. Some numerical resultswith a set of real data are also given.