The overall foresight model that focuses on consensus forming

Abstract

Due to global competition and rapid technological advancement, foresight has become an important method of formulating technological policies. Consensus forming is one of the benefits of the foresight procedure as it allows the society to effectively understand a technology's characteristics during its initial developmental stage. Also, foresight effectively guides the development of a technology, eliminating the dilemma of being unable to manage the technology's future influences. Focusing on consensus forming, this study analyzes foresight through different stages: a macro model that focuses on consensus forming has been proposed in this study in order for us to understand the influence of different factors on foresight planning. The content of consensus forming may include areas such as the possible future, the beneficial future, the preferable future, the current action plan, and its development and promotion.