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dc.contributor.authorChang, HLen_US
dc.contributor.authorYeh, CCen_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-12-08T15:20:18Z-
dc.date.available2014-12-08T15:20:18Z-
dc.date.issued2004-09-01en_US
dc.identifier.issn0001-4575en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2003.07.005en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11536/14428-
dc.description.abstractThe purpose of this paper is to examine the temporal variation of the effect of preventive policy on reducing traffic accidents. The life cycle theory was introduced to describe the safety effect of the intervening policy over time. Poisson regression models with dummy-based and time-based specifications were used to evaluate the effect of an intervening policy over an observation period following its implementation. The policy of "Criminal sanction for drunk driving (CSFDD)" in Taipei city was evaluated as an empirical example to determine whether the temporal variation of safety effect happened to the CSFDD policy. The study results showed that alcohol consumption, arresting the drunk driving offenders, and the implementation of the CSFDD were the significant factors affecting the rate of occurrence of fatal accidents involving drunk driving. The effect of the CSFDD policy appeared to be a rapid initial response followed by a lowerrate of decay. The existence of the life cycle implies that employing different observation periods following the implementation of a specific policy to evaluate its performance may obtain different effects. The results of this study are crucial for policy evaluation. The effects of safety policy should be carefully interpreted in order to avoid misleading the relevant authorities in coming to the wrong conclusions and as such make the wrong decisions. 9 (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.en_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.subjectdrunk drivinen_US
dc.subjectlife cycle theoryen_US
dc.subjectpoisson regression modelsen_US
dc.titleThe life cycle of the policy for preventing road accidents: an empirical example of the policy for reducing drunk driving crashes in Taipeien_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.aap.2003.07.005en_US
dc.identifier.journalACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTIONen_US
dc.citation.volume36en_US
dc.citation.issue5en_US
dc.citation.spage809en_US
dc.citation.epage818en_US
dc.contributor.department運輸與物流管理系 註:原交通所+運管所zh_TW
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Transportation and Logistics Managementen_US
dc.identifier.wosnumberWOS:000222426800012-
dc.citation.woscount9-
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