標題: | Forecasts using neural network versus Box-Jenkins methodology for ambient air quality monitoring data |
作者: | Kao, JJ Huang, SS 環境工程研究所 Institute of Environmental Engineering |
公開日期: | 1-二月-2000 |
摘要: | This study explores ambient air quality forecasts using the conventional time-series approach and a neural network. Sulfur dioxide and ozone monitoring data collected from two background stations and an industrial station are used. Various learning methods and varied numbers of hidden layer processing units of the neural network model are tested. Results obtained from the time-series and neural network models are discussed and compared on the basis of their performance for 1-step-ahead and 24-step-ahead forecasts. Although both models perform well for 1-step-ahead prediction, some neural network results reveal a slightly better forecast without manually adjusting model parameters, according to the results. For a 24-step-ahead forecast, most neural network results are as good as or superior to those of the time-series model. With the advantages of self-learning, self-adaptation, and parallel processing, the neural network approach is a promising technique for developing an automated short-term ambient air quality forecast system. |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/11536/30745 |
ISSN: | 1047-3289 |
期刊: | JOURNAL OF THE AIR & WASTE MANAGEMENT ASSOCIATION |
Volume: | 50 |
Issue: | 2 |
起始頁: | 219 |
結束頁: | 226 |
顯示於類別: | 期刊論文 |