标题: 决策球模式与其应用
Decision Ball Models and Applications
作者: 黎汉林
LI HAN-LIN
国立交通大学资讯管理研究所
关键字: 决策球;视觉化;决策方法;Decision Ball;Visualization;Decision methods
公开日期: 2009
摘要: “不瞭解决策内容”与“未检视决策偏好”是造成决策失误的主因。本研究提出─
决策球模式(Decision Ball Model)以辅助决策者运用电脑展示的球体讯息瞭解决策内
容,并表达与调整决策偏好。以决策球辅助决策的程序分为以下过濾、排序、选择三阶
段:
1. 辅助决策者检视球面上显示的替选案分布图,以过濾不合宜的替选案。
2. 辅助决策者比较球面上所余替选案后,初步排序替选案顺位。
3. 系统将结果展现在球面后,辅助决策者调整先前的选择,直至满意为止。
本研究并拟将此决策球模式推展到以下应用:
“Not understanding the decision context” and “failure to use consistency check on preferences” are two critical mistakes in making decision. This study proposes a Decision Ball model to help a decision maker to “understand” the decision context by observing visualized alternatives on spheres, and to “check and adjust” the related preferences via visualized aids. The Decision Ball model is composed of three phases: screen, order, and choice. The screening phase screens out clearly unwanted alternatives; the ordering phase specifies partial order of alternatives then displays the choices on a Decision Ball; the choosing phase specifies the preferences in pairwise comparison fashion with value trade-offs, and examines the choices then detects and adjusts iteratively the inconsistent preferences via the Decision Ball.
Following are three applications of utilizing the Decision Ball model in decision making:
官方说明文件#: NSC97-2221-E009-104-MY3
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11536/100824
https://www.grb.gov.tw/search/planDetail?id=1761250&docId=300749
显示于类别:Research Plans


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