數位相機產業的技術發展趨勢研究

Abstract

數位相機是一個整合了光學、光電、機械、電子與軟體等高科技的消費性電子產品，經過多年的發展，數位相機產業目前已經是一個相當成熟且競爭的產業。然而，許多的關鍵技術如CCD 與光學鏡頭等仍由日本廠商所掌控，整體市場的趨勢發展也仍為日本廠商所主導。

台灣在數位相機產業的發展，經過十多年的努力，已經成為全球數位相機OEM/ODM 代工的大本營。由於市場競爭激烈，各廠商莫不努力研究其未來技術發展的趨勢，期望能提前做好技術準備，以成熟的技術與品質，獲得客戶的青睞。目前各廠商預測未來技術的作法，大多數是購買昂貴且及時性不高的市場技術調查報告、或是根據自己或上下游廠商對市場不甚可靠的敏銳度作判斷。由於產品技術規格通常描述在產品規格中，而產品規格又是最容易取得關於產品的資料文件，因此透過分析產品規格的統計資料，應可得到相關技術發展的趨勢。

本研究旨在分析歷年來消費型數位相機的規格，利用科技預測的方法進行分析，以了解數位相機的技術發展趨勢。

Digital Still Camera is one of the electronic products for general consumers. It integrates optics, photo-electricity, mechanics, electronic, and software technologies. After past years developing, the DSC industry becomes very mature and competitive. However, many key technologies such as CCD and optical lens are still controlled by Japanese venders. The whole marketing is also handled by Japanese venders.

After past thirteen years developing, Taiwan becomes the OEM/ODM center for the whole worldwide DSC industry. To compete with others, almost all DSC venders in Taiwan invest more resources in perspective studying for marketing and technology. And hope to get more order from customers earlier. Most of venders forecast the technology trend by purchasing expensive and bad-availability survey report or by judging the unreliable information collected from market by them themselves. Actually, product specification is the easiest gotten document about product technology. We could get many useful information by analyzing the statistics of product specification.

The topic of this thesis is to analyze some important specifications by applying technology forecasting for the past historical product specifications to understand the development trend of DSC technology in the future.