标题: | 科技研究发展专案的连续多期效率评估 Study on the Performance Evaluation of R&D Projetcs with Multi-periods |
作者: | 林治廷 Chih-Ting Lin 梁馨科 Shing-Ko Liang 工业工程与管理学系 |
关键字: | 效率评估;连续多期;研究发展专案;efficiency evaluation;Multi-periods;R&D projects |
公开日期: | 1999 |
摘要: | 本研究是以资料包络分析法来分析科技研究发展专案之效率。科技研究发展是长期持续的投入,评估时应考量其过去的表现进行整体的执行评估。本研究的重点在于把连续多期的资源投入与产品合并考量,以综合评估其整体效率。 传统上,科技研究发展专案之评估以当期投入与产出作为评估基础。成熟期或成长期的连续专案在产出上较占优势,因此评比上对于初期或探索期的科技研究发展专案较为不利。故提出连续多期的评估概念,加以改良。 实证研究以83~87年度的能源科技研究发展专案为分析对象。利用GIPOTE模式(Goal、Inputs、Process、Outputs、Transfer、Effects)整理投入项及产出项,进行资料包络分析法的产出/投入效率分析。 本次研究的主要成果及结论如下: 1. 提出多条效率前缘之效率评估等级分类,使相对效率等级之划分更为合理。 2. 同一效率前缘之评比过程中,由原有之总效率优先顺序改为技术效率为优先,以符合效率前缘之概念。 3. 实证研究显示,连续多期之效率评估与原有之单期效率评估,有实质上的差异。 In this research, we study the performance evaluation of R&D Projects by Data Envelopment Analysis. Due to R&D is a long-term investment, R&D projects should be evaluated by integrating information of current and past year. To evaluate performance of R&D projects with multi-periods is the major objective of this research. Traditionally, the evaluation of R&D projects is based on current year. In output point of view, it is good for a project in the mature-period or growth-period, but have disadvantage for a project just beginning or in the exploring-period. In this study propose the concept of multi-periods to improve the disadvantage of performance evaluation based on current year. This study adopts 5 years national R&D Projects Commissioned by Ministry of Economic Affair from 1994 to 1998. Using GIPOTE model(Goal、Inputs、Process、Outputs、Transfer、Effects) as evaluation framework to evaluation.The tool for performance evaluation in this sleedy is Data Envelopment Analysis. The major contributions of this study are: 1. Corresponding to the concept of efficiency frontior, this research provides multi-frontior curves to lable projects efficiency. 2. Changing the basis of efficiency classification from overall efficiency to technical efficiency in accordance with concept of efficiency frontior. 3. According to this research, it is different from evaluation with multi-periods to single-period. 1.1研究背景与动机........................................................................................ 1 1.2研究目的..................................................................................................... 6 1.3研究范围与限制........................................................................................ 6 1.4研究架构与步骤........................................................................................ 7 第二章 文献探讨............................................................................................ 8 2.1 科技研发专案及其管理特性................................................................. 8 2.2 评估模式.................................................................................................... 9 2.2.1 大型工业技术研究发展成果绩效评估模式(IRON模式)...... 9 2.2.2 研究专案对产业影响追踪分析模式(IRCE模式).................... 10 2.2.3 科技专案计画追踪验证评估模式(IROT模式)........................ 11 2.3 效率评估.................................................................................................... 12 2.4 跨期的绩效评估....................................................................................... 14 2.4.1以效率的概念进行效能评估............................................................ 14 2.4.2不同时期的生产效率评估................................................................ 17 第三章 资料包络分析法(DEA)方法论................................................. 22 3.1 效率............................................................................................................ 22 3.2包络曲线基本概念................................................................................... 22 3.3资料包络分析法的基本模式.................................................................. 24 3.3.1 CCR 模式............................................................................................ 24 3.3.2 BCC模式(技术效率及规模效率)............................................. 28 3.3.3 规模报酬判断..................................................................................... 31 3.3.4 差额变数分析..................................................................................... 33 3.4 资料包络分析法的特质......................................................................... 34 第四章 研究概念及架构............................................................................... 35 4.1 GIPOTE模式............................................................................................. 35 4.2 连续多期与单期...................................................................................... 37 4.3 效率分析................................................................................................... 40 4.3.1 效率分类.............................................................................................. 40 4.3.2 效率排序.............................................................................................. 42 4.4 实施流程.................................................................................................... 44 第五章 实证研究............................................................................................ 45 5.1 实证资料筛选 .......................................................................................... 45 5.2 实证结果分析 ........................................................................................... 47 5.2.1 评估结果............................................................................................... 47 5.2.2 差额变数分析...................................................................................... 50 5.2.3虚拟乘数分析....................................................................................... 50 5.3 个案说明.................................................................................................... 52 5.3.1 强势效率单位...................................................................................... 52 5.3.2 边缘效率单位...................................................................................... 53 5.3.3 效率前缘单位...................................................................................... 54 5.3.4 非效率前缘单位.................................................................................. 56 5.4 效率分析.................................................................................................... 59 5.4.1 效率分类............................................................................................... 59 5.4.2 效率排序............................................................................................... 60 5.4.3 多阶式效率评选.................................................................................. 64 5.5 单期与连续多期比较.............................................................................. 66 第六章 结论及建议........................................................................................ 70 6.1 结论............................................................................................................ 70 6.2 未来研究方向及建议.............................................................................. 71 参考文献 ............................................................................................................. 72 |
URI: | http://140.113.39.130/cdrfb3/record/nctu/#NT880031015 http://hdl.handle.net/11536/65172 |
显示于类别: | Thesis |